The Votemaster sees an apparent debate victory for Mitt Romney as possibly having a deleterious effect on the GOP, in that big money, which was contemplating going down ticket, may now hold of on that, and pump more into the presidential campaign.
If Romney loses, and Votemaster and Wang both see the debate as possibly having little long term influence on the polls, then money which could have gone into a vital senate campaign, may have been misspent by supporting Romney's race. Here are their takeaway's;
First the Votemaster:
"The debate could have repercussions downticket. Republican funders who were toying with the idea of giving up on Romney and pouring their millions into Senate and House races are probably not going to to do that quite yet. The consequence is that Democratic Senate and House candidates may get some more breathing space for a while and if the funders do eventually abandon Romney, it may be too late to make a difference in the other races."
"Seems like Romney did well. Landed some good punches, didn’t look like he was circling the drain. Obama was more natural and got off a few…zingers. To tell the truth, I started zoning out after about 30 minutes.
It’s not enough to change the basic dynamics. Stalemate. I suspect the race will stay where it is now, maybe narrow by a point. Two points if we believe the pundit reactions. This is not enough for Romney. The Meta-Margin is currently at Obama+6.2%.
I do wonder if it will help the GOP downticket. Despite your obsession with the Presidential race, readers, the downticket is far more interesting in the coming weeks. Those races are at center stage (ActBlue / CrossroadsGPS)."
For another, but pre-debate, view here is Doug Brady at Conservatives4Palin